Adds 'bench-runner calibrate': N A/A sessions counted against a <5% false-positive bar, and N sessions with a synthetic slowdown injected as a real busy-wait inside the candidate's timed window, counted against a >=95% detection bar (detected = ratio CI entirely below 1.0). Bootstrap seed varies per session so resampling noise is not correlated across the very statistic being validated. JSON evidence includes per-session CIs, injected wait, acceptance verdict, and env fingerprint. First run against the real comrak workload (20+20 sessions, pinned core): false-positive rate 0.000, detection rate 0.950 -> PASS. Evidence: results/calibration/2026-07-06-comrak-full-calibration.json. Closes the SPEC 3.1 acceptance-criteria gap; remaining Phase 1 gaps: no-net containers, perf profiling, diff-test orchestration, agent IPC. Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com> Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01EcKPWQ3MQD4NdEHwar96u2
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hotpath — profile-guided optimization agent
Working name. Rename freely; nothing depends on it.
Mission
An agent that profiles real binaries and services, isolates hot paths, proposes optimizations, and accepts a change only when (a) behavioral-equivalence gates pass and (b) the benchmark improvement is statistically significant on trusted infrastructure. Output: verified performance deltas translated into ROI reports nobody can dispute.
Full engineering spec: SPEC.md. Read it before starting any phase.
Non-negotiables (re-read every session)
- No unverified performance claims. A change without passing equivalence gates AND a significant bench delta does not exist. Discard it. Log it.
- Measure before optimizing. No patch is proposed until profile data identifies the hot path. Never trust a single benchmark run.
- Cheap wins first, always. Build flags → LTO → PGO → allocator swap → then code changes. Check the ledger before re-attempting any class of change on a target.
- Equivalence gates are hard gates. Changes touching floating-point ordering, concurrency primitives, or anything UB-adjacent are NEVER auto-accepted — verdict is
needs-human-review. - Every attempt goes in the ledger, including failures and rejections. Failures are future training data.
- The agent never modifies the trust layer.
crates/,config/,corpora/, and upstream test suites are read-only to the agent. Patches may touch only allowlisted paths undertargets/<name>/. See SPEC.md §10. - Sandbox everything. Target code runs only inside no-network containers. Never on the host.
- Statistical bar: accept only if the bootstrap 95% CI lower bound of speedup ≥ threshold in
config/accept.toml(default 2%), from interleaved A/B runs on the same pinned hardware.
Architecture map
crates/bench-runner— trust layer: containerized, CPU-pinned, interleaved A/B benchmarking with bootstrap confidence intervals and A/A self-testscrates/diff-test— behavioral equivalence: upstream test suite + golden I/O replay + differential fuzzing of changed functions + sanitizerscrates/ledger— append-only SQLite record of every attempt: hypothesis, patch, gate results, bench deltas, verdict, costcrates/report— ROI generator: cores saved × $/core-hr, latency percentile deltas, CIs, workload caveats printed on every numberagent/— Claude Agent SDK (Python) loop, prompts, tool definitionstargets/— vendored OSS targets for case studies (permissive licenses only)playbook/— optimization classes, ordered, with preconditions and known risksresults/— generated reports and flamegraphs
Current phase
Phase 0 complete → Phase 1 — trust layer. Phase 0 exit met 2026-07-06: verified +10.4% median win on tokei (95% CI [+8.5%, +12.0%], ledger phase0-tokei-003) + two case studies in results/phase0/. Phase 1 gaps to close: dedicated no-net bench containers, perf-based profiling, automated A/A + regression-injection calibration, diff-test orchestration, agent↔harness IPC. (Update this line as phases complete; exit criteria in SPEC.md §5.)
Commands
Fill these in as the harness is built; keep them current:
just profile <target> # perf record + flamegraph for a target's benchmark workload
just bench <target> <ref> # interleaved A/B: pristine baseline vs working tree
just gates <target> # test suite + golden replay + diff-fuzz + sanitizers
just verdict <target> # runs gates + bench, writes ledger row, prints verdict
just report <run-id> # ROI report from ledger
just aa <target> # A/A calibration run (must show null result)
Built so far (command-level, pre-target-integration):
just build / test / lint # trust-layer workspace: cargo build/test/clippy+fmt
just aa [cmd] # A/A self-test of bench-runner on a shell command
just compare <a> <b> # interleaved A/B of two shell commands, bootstrap CI
just pin-check <target> # verify corpus MANIFEST.sha256
just calibrate <cmd> <out> # automated A/A + regression-injection calibration
Definition of done — one optimization attempt
- Hypothesis logged in ledger before patching
- Patch touches only allowlisted paths under
targets/<name>/ - Upstream test suite green
- Golden replay byte-identical (or within the target's explicit FP tolerance policy)
- Differential fuzz on changed functions: no divergence (60s or 10k iterations minimum)
- ASan + UBSan clean; TSan if the patch touches anything threaded
- Interleaved A/B bench passes the CI-lower-bound threshold
- Ledger row written with verdict and full evidence
- If FP-ordering / concurrency / UB-adjacent: verdict
needs-human-review, never auto-accept
An attempt that fails any gate is a valid, complete outcome — write the ledger row and move on. Do not iterate on a rejected patch more than twice without a new hypothesis.
Conventions
- Rust workspace (edition 2021+) for all harness crates;
justfor task running - Python 3.11+ for
agent/; Claude Agent SDK — verify current package name and API at https://docs.claude.com/en/docs/claude-code/overview before scaffolding - Every number shown to a human carries its confidence interval and workload description. No naked percentages, ever.
- Commit style:
phase0:,bench:,gates:,agent:,playbook:prefixes - When in doubt between shipping a feature and hardening measurement, harden measurement. The product is trust.