gates: verdict pipeline — gates + bench + ledger row, pristine-rebuilt baselines

Adds crates/verdict ('just verdict'): runs the core gates on the
candidate binary, then an interleaved A/B bench vs the baseline with
the CI-lower-bound rule, and writes the append-only ledger row with
per-side median CIs, workload statement, and env fingerprint. Gate
failure short-circuits to rejected-gate; --needs-human-review caps an
accepted verdict (never upgrades). CPU pinning moves into accept.toml
(pin_prefix, machine-specific, applied to both sides identically).

The smoke test caught a real trust gap: pointing --baseline-bin at the
workspace build (phase1-verdict-smoke-001) measured patched-vs-patched
and returned null, because gate runs rebuild the workspace binary from
the patched tree. Fix: --rebuild-baseline stashes the patch, builds
the baseline into isolated targets/<name>/baseline/, and restores the
patch — SPEC 3.1's pristine-checkout rule, now enforced by the
harness. Re-run (phase1-verdict-smoke-002) reproduces the Phase 0
result mechanically: +10.4% median, 95% CI [1.0932, 1.1137], accepted.
Both smoke rows are in the ledger, including the null one.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01EcKPWQ3MQD4NdEHwar96u2
This commit is contained in:
Claude
2026-07-06 23:50:05 +00:00
parent 0d29d51f72
commit baa6c4e967
15 changed files with 394 additions and 62 deletions
Generated
+12
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@@ -558,6 +558,18 @@ version = "0.2.15"
source = "registry+https://github.com/rust-lang/crates.io-index"
checksum = "accd4ea62f7bb7a82fe23066fb0957d48ef677f6eeb8215f372f52e48bb32426"
[[package]]
name = "verdict"
version = "0.1.0"
dependencies = [
"anyhow",
"bench-runner",
"clap",
"diff-test",
"ledger",
"serde_json",
]
[[package]]
name = "version_check"
version = "0.9.5"